Présage: Predict & Calibrate

Von Honorius Neogy auf AppTrack Ninja.

Predict. Resolve. Calibrate.

Most people think they're right 90% of the time. They're actually right about 70%. The difference is overconfidence — and you can't fix it without measuring it. Présage is a personal calibrated forecasting tool. You predict things about your own life — what you'll get done, how a meeting will go, whether the relationship will work — with a confidence percentage and a resolution date. When the date comes, you answer honestly. Présage scores you using proper scoring rules and shows you the gap between what you said and what happened. This isn't a habit tracker, journal, or prediction market. It…

Kategorien: Lifestyle, Productivity

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