Docteur Bet: Maths & Football — ASO

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Probabilities & value bets

THE ODDS ARE THEIR OPINION. PROBABILITY IS OUR JOB. In a nutshell, Docteur Bet models every football match to get a probability, then sets it against the odds of many operators. When a price pays more than the risk it carries, that's a value bet. Our value bets of the day? Only where we know our model performs. And every result is published, wins and losses alike. WHAT IS A VALUE BET? Odds tell you what chance the bookmaker gives a result. At 6.60, it gives it about 15%. If our models put it at 19%, the price pays more than the risk: that's a value bet. It is not a bet won in advance. It is a…

Categories: Sports, Utilities

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